Scenarios 2027 / Paper

Scenarios 2027 · Library v0.4

The Scenario Paper

A stable, versioned library of severe but plausible shocks, specified on a common grammar, rated for likelihood and impact and mapped to the capabilities each one stresses.

Status
In preparation
Release
TBC January 2027, Davos
Ratings
ginc-desk-v0.2. Scores are provisional GINC desk scores. They exist so the site can be built and tested. The 2027 Edition replaces them with the results of the structured expert elicitation.
PDF not yet publishedDataEdition home
Cite asGINC (2027). Scenarios 2027: Scenario Library v0.4. Oxford: Global Institute for National Capability. scenarios.ginc.org/2027Content and data are published under CC BY 4.0.