Scenarios 2027 / Results / S12

Load test · S12 · Standard Severe · 197 nations

Critical infrastructure collapse

D Technology and infrastructureScenario record

How far each nation’s capability index falls when this scenario’s load is applied to its capability scores, after its own buffers absorb what they can.

Read with care Second illustrative run, with exposure set nation by nation. The capability scores are candidate ratings and the test settings are GINC desk settings; neither has been adopted. Scores are from the GINC National Capability Index 2026, which describes them as candidate ratings. Exposure is set nation by nation from the CIA World Factbook 2025 and the scenario's regional exposure. Results show the method working on real scores; they are not findings about any nation. How the tests work.

Typical nation−0.69median change in index, points
Hardest hit−1.07Libya
Lose a domain band158of 197 nations
Worth of best practice+0.27mean points recovered over current plans

Change in index, by region

One dot per nation. The bar marks each region’s mean. Further left is a larger fall.

−1−0.8−0.6−0.4−0.20Change in capability index, pointsNorth America 2United States: −0.34Canada: −0.48North America mean: −0.41United StatesEurope 42France: −0.40United Kingdom: −0.31Germany: −0.45Netherlands: −0.50Sweden: −0.47Switzerland: −0.50Norway: −0.54Finland: −0.47Denmark: −0.61Spain: −0.54Italy: −0.52Belgium: −0.62Austria: −0.56Poland: −0.52Ireland: −0.63Portugal: −0.59Czechia: −0.59Estonia: −0.58Luxembourg: −0.75Lithuania: −0.61Greece: −0.66Hungary: −0.65Slovenia: −0.60Romania: −0.57Slovakia: −0.60Latvia: −0.65Iceland: −0.79Croatia: −0.63Serbia: −0.64Bulgaria: −0.67Malta: −0.82Cyprus: −0.74Liechtenstein: −0.57North Macedonia: −0.72Montenegro: −0.77Albania: −0.75Monaco: −0.86Bosnia & Herzegovina: −0.70Andorra: −0.78San Marino: −0.82Kosovo: −0.83Holy See: −0.58Europe mean: −0.62United KingdomChina 1China: −0.35China mean: −0.35ChinaIndo-Pacific 30Japan: −0.43South Korea: −0.43Singapore: −0.55Australia: −0.51Taiwan: −0.49New Zealand: −0.62Malaysia: −0.67Thailand: −0.60Indonesia: −0.58Vietnam: −0.52Philippines: −0.63Mongolia: −0.77Brunei: −0.83Fiji: −0.72Cambodia: −0.55North Korea: −0.66Myanmar: −0.60Papua New Guinea: −0.39Laos: −0.61Samoa: −0.49Tonga: −0.53Timor-Leste: −0.49Vanuatu: −0.49Solomon Islands: −0.49Palau: −0.64Marshall Islands: −0.76Micronesia: −0.47Kiribati: −0.75Tuvalu: −0.70Nauru: −0.83Indo-Pacific mean: −0.59South Asia 8India: −0.48Pakistan: −0.55Sri Lanka: −0.61Bangladesh: −0.67Nepal: −0.68Maldives: −0.81Bhutan: −0.83Afghanistan: −0.56South Asia mean: −0.65Gulf and Middle East 16Israel: −0.50Türkiye: −0.58United Arab Emirates: −0.63Saudi Arabia: −0.68Qatar: −0.82Egypt: −0.55Iran: −0.66Oman: −0.81Kuwait: −0.89Jordan: −0.84Bahrain: −0.84Iraq: −0.82Lebanon: −0.91Palestine: −0.89Syria: −0.62Yemen: −0.47Gulf and Middle East mean: −0.72Africa 53South Africa: −0.73Morocco: −0.81Mauritius: −0.75Tunisia: −0.85Nigeria: −0.70Kenya: −0.60Ghana: −0.83Algeria: −0.90Senegal: −0.78Botswana: −0.94Namibia: −0.83Rwanda: −0.58Tanzania: −0.64Ethiopia: −0.55Uganda: −0.56Côte d'Ivoire: −0.74Seychelles: −0.87Zambia: −0.69Cabo Verde: −0.88Angola: −0.83Cameroon: −0.79Zimbabwe: −0.69Mozambique: −0.64Benin: −0.72Togo: −0.71Gabon: −1.00Madagascar: −0.65Malawi: −0.55Eswatini: −0.69Sierra Leone: −0.65Mauritania: −0.77Burkina Faso: −0.60Lesotho: −0.68Mali: −0.72Gambia: −0.81Djibouti: −0.92Congo: −0.81Guinea: −0.66Niger: −0.57Libya: −1.07Liberia: −0.70DR Congo: −0.72São Tomé & Príncipe: −0.89Equatorial Guinea: −0.90Sudan: −0.68Burundi: −0.50Comoros: −0.64Chad: −0.56Guinea-Bissau: −0.70Eritrea: −0.65Central African Rep.: −0.62Somalia: −0.69South Sudan: −0.52Africa mean: −0.73GabonLibyaLatin America and Caribbean 33Brazil: −0.74Mexico: −0.78Chile: −0.85Argentina: −0.88Colombia: −0.85Peru: −0.89Uruguay: −0.96Costa Rica: −0.92Panama: −0.86Dominican Republic: −0.96Ecuador: −0.88Trinidad & Tobago: −0.86Jamaica: −0.88Cuba: −0.93Paraguay: −0.89El Salvador: −0.90Guatemala: −0.79Barbados: −0.74Bahamas: −0.98Bolivia: −0.91Honduras: −0.84Venezuela: −0.99Guyana: −0.78Nicaragua: −0.83Antigua & Barbuda: −0.72Grenada: −0.76Suriname: −0.90Belize: −0.80Dominica: −0.91Saint Lucia: −0.69Saint Kitts & Nevis: −0.75Saint Vincent & Grenadines: −0.83Haiti: −0.78Latin America and Caribbean mean: −0.85VenezuelaRussia and Eurasia 12Russia: −0.51Ukraine: −0.57Kazakhstan: −0.69Georgia: −0.70Belarus: −0.77Azerbaijan: −0.71Armenia: −0.71Moldova: −0.66Uzbekistan: −0.72Kyrgyzstan: −0.69Tajikistan: −0.55Turkmenistan: −0.54Russia and Eurasia mean: −0.65
Lowest: Libya, Gabon, Venezuela. Highest: China, United States, United Kingdom.

Does capability protect?

Each nation’s baseline index against its fall. Stronger nations absorb more of the shock, so they sit higher; so do nations with low exposure.

02.557.51012.51517.5−1−0.8−0.6−0.4−0.20Baseline capability index (0 to 20)Change in index (points)United States (North America): baseline capability index 18.03, change in index −0.34France (Europe): baseline capability index 16.64, change in index −0.40United Kingdom (Europe): baseline capability index 16.45, change in index −0.31Germany (Europe): baseline capability index 16.36, change in index −0.45Japan (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 16.26, change in index −0.43South Korea (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 16, change in index −0.43China (China): baseline capability index 15.64, change in index −0.35Netherlands (Europe): baseline capability index 15.5, change in index −0.50Sweden (Europe): baseline capability index 15.3, change in index −0.47Singapore (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 15.2, change in index −0.55Canada (North America): baseline capability index 15.06, change in index −0.48Australia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 14.95, change in index −0.51Switzerland (Europe): baseline capability index 14.73, change in index −0.50Norway (Europe): baseline capability index 14.62, change in index −0.54Finland (Europe): baseline capability index 14.52, change in index −0.47Israel (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 14.46, change in index −0.50Taiwan (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 14.03, change in index −0.49Denmark (Europe): baseline capability index 13.94, change in index −0.61Spain (Europe): baseline capability index 13.78, change in index −0.54Italy (Europe): baseline capability index 13.72, change in index −0.52Belgium (Europe): baseline capability index 13.46, change in index −0.62New Zealand (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 12.83, change in index −0.62Austria (Europe): baseline capability index 12.81, change in index −0.56India (South Asia): baseline capability index 12.61, change in index −0.48Poland (Europe): baseline capability index 12.39, change in index −0.52Russia (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 12.3, change in index −0.51Türkiye (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 12.18, change in index −0.58Ireland (Europe): baseline capability index 12.08, change in index −0.63United Arab Emirates (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 11.94, change in index −0.63Brazil (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 11.69, change in index −0.74Portugal (Europe): baseline capability index 11.68, change in index −0.59Czechia (Europe): baseline capability index 11.51, change in index −0.59Estonia (Europe): baseline capability index 11.49, change in index −0.58Malaysia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 11.48, change in index −0.67Saudi Arabia (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 11.19, change in index −0.68Mexico (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 10.85, change in index −0.78Luxembourg (Europe): baseline capability index 10.79, change in index −0.75South Africa (Africa): baseline capability index 10.77, change in index −0.73Lithuania (Europe): baseline capability index 10.75, change in index −0.61Thailand (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 10.7, change in index −0.60Chile (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 10.61, change in index −0.85Greece (Europe): baseline capability index 10.61, change in index −0.66Hungary (Europe): baseline capability index 10.51, change in index −0.65Slovenia (Europe): baseline capability index 10.48, change in index −0.60Romania (Europe): baseline capability index 10.16, change in index −0.57Slovakia (Europe): baseline capability index 10.1, change in index −0.60Indonesia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 9.97, change in index −0.58Latvia (Europe): baseline capability index 9.89, change in index −0.65Vietnam (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 9.68, change in index −0.52Iceland (Europe): baseline capability index 9.63, change in index −0.79Croatia (Europe): baseline capability index 9.53, change in index −0.63Ukraine (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 9.4, change in index −0.57Qatar (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 9.39, change in index −0.82Morocco (Africa): baseline capability index 9.36, change in index −0.81Argentina (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 9.25, change in index −0.88Colombia (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 9.11, change in index −0.85Egypt (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 8.98, change in index −0.55Serbia (Europe): baseline capability index 8.97, change in index −0.64Bulgaria (Europe): baseline capability index 8.95, change in index −0.67Malta (Europe): baseline capability index 8.89, change in index −0.82Philippines (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 8.83, change in index −0.63Peru (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 8.61, change in index −0.89Uruguay (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 8.54, change in index −0.96Cyprus (Europe): baseline capability index 8.51, change in index −0.74Iran (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 8.17, change in index −0.66Kazakhstan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 8.14, change in index −0.69Mauritius (Africa): baseline capability index 8.08, change in index −0.75Oman (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 8.03, change in index −0.81Pakistan (South Asia): baseline capability index 7.96, change in index −0.55Costa Rica (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 7.76, change in index −0.92Tunisia (Africa): baseline capability index 7.71, change in index −0.85Georgia (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 7.55, change in index −0.70Kuwait (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 7.51, change in index −0.89Jordan (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 7.5, change in index −0.84Nigeria (Africa): baseline capability index 7.43, change in index −0.70Bahrain (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 7.32, change in index −0.84Sri Lanka (South Asia): baseline capability index 7.25, change in index −0.61Liechtenstein (Europe): baseline capability index 7.22, change in index −0.57Kenya (Africa): baseline capability index 7.18, change in index −0.60Panama (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 7.17, change in index −0.86Ghana (Africa): baseline capability index 6.98, change in index −0.83Algeria (Africa): baseline capability index 6.96, change in index −0.90Belarus (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 6.9, change in index −0.77Dominican Republic (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 6.82, change in index −0.96Azerbaijan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 6.79, change in index −0.71Ecuador (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 6.76, change in index −0.88Bangladesh (South Asia): baseline capability index 6.73, change in index −0.67Trinidad & Tobago (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 6.69, change in index −0.86Armenia (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 6.65, change in index −0.71North Macedonia (Europe): baseline capability index 6.61, change in index −0.72Senegal (Africa): baseline capability index 6.42, change in index −0.78Montenegro (Europe): baseline capability index 6.35, change in index −0.77Moldova (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 6.34, change in index −0.66Jamaica (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 6.24, change in index −0.88Albania (Europe): baseline capability index 6.13, change in index −0.75Botswana (Africa): baseline capability index 6.08, change in index −0.94Namibia (Africa): baseline capability index 5.95, change in index −0.83Cuba (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.95, change in index −0.93Rwanda (Africa): baseline capability index 5.95, change in index −0.58Uzbekistan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 5.92, change in index −0.72Monaco (Europe): baseline capability index 5.91, change in index −0.86Tanzania (Africa): baseline capability index 5.82, change in index −0.64Bosnia & Herzegovina (Europe): baseline capability index 5.8, change in index −0.70Paraguay (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.79, change in index −0.89Mongolia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 5.73, change in index −0.77Ethiopia (Africa): baseline capability index 5.7, change in index −0.55El Salvador (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.68, change in index −0.90Guatemala (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.67, change in index −0.79Brunei (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 5.6, change in index −0.83Barbados (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.56, change in index −0.74Uganda (Africa): baseline capability index 5.53, change in index −0.56Côte d'Ivoire (Africa): baseline capability index 5.42, change in index −0.74Seychelles (Africa): baseline capability index 5.27, change in index −0.87Bahamas (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.16, change in index −0.98Fiji (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 5.16, change in index −0.72Andorra (Europe): baseline capability index 5.15, change in index −0.78Bolivia (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.11, change in index −0.91Honduras (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.05, change in index −0.84San Marino (Europe): baseline capability index 5.03, change in index −0.82Nepal (South Asia): baseline capability index 4.96, change in index −0.68Zambia (Africa): baseline capability index 4.93, change in index −0.69Cambodia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 4.93, change in index −0.55Kyrgyzstan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 4.77, change in index −0.69Cabo Verde (Africa): baseline capability index 4.72, change in index −0.88Kosovo (Europe): baseline capability index 4.7, change in index −0.83Iraq (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 4.69, change in index −0.82Lebanon (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 4.66, change in index −0.91Maldives (South Asia): baseline capability index 4.62, change in index −0.81Angola (Africa): baseline capability index 4.6, change in index −0.83Venezuela (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.55, change in index −0.99Guyana (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.53, change in index −0.78Cameroon (Africa): baseline capability index 4.39, change in index −0.79Nicaragua (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.37, change in index −0.83Antigua & Barbuda (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.36, change in index −0.72Zimbabwe (Africa): baseline capability index 4.34, change in index −0.69North Korea (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 4.26, change in index −0.66Mozambique (Africa): baseline capability index 4.12, change in index −0.64Benin (Africa): baseline capability index 4.09, change in index −0.72Togo (Africa): baseline capability index 4.05, change in index −0.71Grenada (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.04, change in index −0.76Suriname (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.04, change in index −0.90Belize (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.03, change in index −0.80Tajikistan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 4.01, change in index −0.55Gabon (Africa): baseline capability index 3.94, change in index −1.00Bhutan (South Asia): baseline capability index 3.93, change in index −0.83Madagascar (Africa): baseline capability index 3.9, change in index −0.65Myanmar (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.89, change in index −0.60Dominica (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 3.87, change in index −0.91Saint Lucia (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 3.85, change in index −0.69Saint Kitts & Nevis (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 3.83, change in index −0.75Papua New Guinea (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.8, change in index −0.39Malawi (Africa): baseline capability index 3.76, change in index −0.55Saint Vincent & Grenadines (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 3.76, change in index −0.83Palestine (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 3.72, change in index −0.89Eswatini (Africa): baseline capability index 3.71, change in index −0.69Laos (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.7, change in index −0.61Sierra Leone (Africa): baseline capability index 3.59, change in index −0.65Mauritania (Africa): baseline capability index 3.58, change in index −0.77Turkmenistan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 3.55, change in index −0.54Samoa (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.48, change in index −0.49Burkina Faso (Africa): baseline capability index 3.47, change in index −0.60Lesotho (Africa): baseline capability index 3.43, change in index −0.68Mali (Africa): baseline capability index 3.41, change in index −0.72Gambia (Africa): baseline capability index 3.32, change in index −0.81Tonga (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.21, change in index −0.53Djibouti (Africa): baseline capability index 3.2, change in index −0.92Congo (Africa): baseline capability index 3.19, change in index −0.81Guinea (Africa): baseline capability index 3.15, change in index −0.66Niger (Africa): baseline capability index 3.07, change in index −0.57Libya (Africa): baseline capability index 3.01, change in index −1.07Timor-Leste (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.98, change in index −0.49Liberia (Africa): baseline capability index 2.93, change in index −0.70Vanuatu (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.93, change in index −0.49Solomon Islands (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.91, change in index −0.49DR Congo (Africa): baseline capability index 2.87, change in index −0.72São Tomé & Príncipe (Africa): baseline capability index 2.85, change in index −0.89Palau (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.84, change in index −0.64Equatorial Guinea (Africa): baseline capability index 2.8, change in index −0.90Sudan (Africa): baseline capability index 2.61, change in index −0.68Burundi (Africa): baseline capability index 2.48, change in index −0.50Marshall Islands (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.48, change in index −0.76Micronesia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.33, change in index −0.47Comoros (Africa): baseline capability index 2.29, change in index −0.64Chad (Africa): baseline capability index 2.26, change in index −0.56Syria (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 2.22, change in index −0.62Kiribati (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.2, change in index −0.75Tuvalu (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.12, change in index −0.70Guinea-Bissau (Africa): baseline capability index 2.07, change in index −0.70Haiti (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 2.03, change in index −0.78Eritrea (Africa): baseline capability index 2.01, change in index −0.65Nauru (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 1.96, change in index −0.83Holy See (Europe): baseline capability index 1.85, change in index −0.58Central African Rep. (Africa): baseline capability index 1.66, change in index −0.62Yemen (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 1.62, change in index −0.47Somalia (Africa): baseline capability index 1.62, change in index −0.69Afghanistan (South Asia): baseline capability index 1.46, change in index −0.56South Sudan (Africa): baseline capability index 1.38, change in index −0.52United StatesUnited KingdomChinaVenezuelaGabonLibya
North AmericaEuropeChinaIndo-PacificSouth AsiaGulf and Middle EastAfricaLatin America and CaribbeanRussia and Eurasia

Where the load lands

Mean change in each capability domain across all nations.

Strategic Infrastructure−1.05
Governance & Integrity−0.95
Financial Strength−0.88
Production & Innovation−0.86
Trade & Investment−0.76
Critical Technology−0.60
Human Capital−0.38
Information & Influence−0.38
National Security−0.35

What policy is worth

The 20 hardest-hit nations under three policy responses. The distance from circle to square is what current buffers absorb; from square to diamond is what best practice would add.

−1.2−1.0−0.8−0.6−0.4−0.20.0Change in capability index, pointsLibyaLibya, no response: −1.20Libya, current plans: −1.07Libya, best practice: −0.54GabonGabon, no response: −1.15Gabon, current plans: −1.00Gabon, best practice: −0.52VenezuelaVenezuela, no response: −1.21Venezuela, current plans: −0.99Venezuela, best practice: −0.53BahamasBahamas, no response: −1.16Bahamas, current plans: −0.98Bahamas, best practice: −0.53UruguayUruguay, no response: −1.35Uruguay, current plans: −0.96Uruguay, best practice: −0.60Dominican RepublicDominican Republic, no response: −1.25Dominican Republic, current plans: −0.96Dominican Republic, best practice: −0.56BotswanaBotswana, no response: −1.14Botswana, current plans: −0.94Botswana, best practice: −0.52CubaCuba, no response: −1.20Cuba, current plans: −0.93Cuba, best practice: −0.53Costa RicaCosta Rica, no response: −1.26Costa Rica, current plans: −0.92Costa Rica, best practice: −0.56DjiboutiDjibouti, no response: −1.04Djibouti, current plans: −0.92Djibouti, best practice: −0.47BoliviaBolivia, no response: −1.10Bolivia, current plans: −0.91Bolivia, best practice: −0.50LebanonLebanon, no response: −1.08Lebanon, current plans: −0.91Lebanon, best practice: −0.49DominicaDominica, no response: −1.04Dominica, current plans: −0.91Dominica, best practice: −0.48AlgeriaAlgeria, no response: −1.21Algeria, current plans: −0.90Algeria, best practice: −0.53El SalvadorEl Salvador, no response: −1.13El Salvador, current plans: −0.90El Salvador, best practice: −0.51SurinameSuriname, no response: −1.03Suriname, current plans: −0.90Suriname, best practice: −0.47Equatorial GuineaEquatorial Guinea, no response: −1.00Equatorial Guinea, current plans: −0.90Equatorial Guinea, best practice: −0.45PeruPeru, no response: −1.25Peru, current plans: −0.89Peru, best practice: −0.55KuwaitKuwait, no response: −1.22Kuwait, current plans: −0.89Kuwait, best practice: −0.54ParaguayParaguay, no response: −1.10Paraguay, current plans: −0.89Paraguay, best practice: −0.50
No responseCurrent plansBest practice
Run three times: no response (absorption zero), current plans (the nation's own buffers) and best practice (buffers lifted to Advanced where they are lower).

All 197 nations

Rank shift is the change in the nation’s place among all nations once every index is stressed: up means it held up better than its neighbours. The weakest point is the capability left lowest among those the scenario singles out.

Weakest point
LibyaAfricaHigh 0.903.011.93−1.07−35.7▼ 83111%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
GabonAfricaHigh 0.883.942.94−1.00−25.4▼ 1325 · 1d14%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
VenezuelaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.854.553.56−0.99−21.8▼ 528 · 4d18%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
BahamasLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.935.164.19−0.98−18.9▼ 823 · 1d17%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
UruguayLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.968.547.59−0.96−11.2▼ 126 · 4d30%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
Dominican RepublicLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.906.825.86−0.96−14.1▼ 526 · 3d24%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
BotswanaAfricaHigh 0.856.085.14−0.94−15.5▼ 423 · 5d19%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
CubaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.835.955.02−0.93−15.6▼ 518 · 3d23%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0.5 · Inception
Costa RicaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.897.766.84−0.92−11.8▼ 125 · 5d28%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
DjiboutiAfricaHigh 0.823.202.29−0.92−28.6▼ 625 · 3d12%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
BoliviaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.815.114.20−0.91−17.8▼ 422 · 1d18%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
LebanonGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.774.663.74−0.91−19.6▼ 323 · 3d17%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
DominicaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.853.872.96−0.91−23.4▼ 720 · 3d13%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
AlgeriaAfricaHigh 0.846.966.06−0.90−12.9▼ 222 · 4d26%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0.5 · Inception
El SalvadorLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.825.684.78−0.90−15.9▼ 323 · 5d21%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
SurinameLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.824.043.14−0.90−22.2▼ 723 · 2d14%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
Equatorial GuineaAfricaHigh 0.792.801.90−0.90−32.3▼ 226 · 3d10%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
PeruLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.878.617.71−0.89−10.4▼ 132 · 3d28%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0.9 · Inception
KuwaitGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.867.516.61−0.89−11.9▼ 424 · 3d28%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
ParaguayLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.805.794.89−0.89−15.4▼ 320 · 3d20%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
PalestineGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.743.722.83−0.89−23.9▼ 614 · 4d12%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
São Tomé & PríncipeAfricaHigh 0.802.851.96−0.89−31.1▼ 125 · 2d9%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
ArgentinaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.949.258.37−0.88−9.5▼ 123 · 3d35%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 3.8 · Nascent
EcuadorLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.816.765.88−0.88−13.0▼ 223 · 1d24%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
JamaicaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.806.245.37−0.88−14.0▼ 222 · 3d21%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
Cabo VerdeAfricaHigh 0.814.723.85−0.88−18.6▼ 225 · 2d16%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
SeychellesAfricaHigh 0.825.274.41−0.87−16.4▼ 126 · 2d18%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
PanamaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.837.176.31−0.86−12.0014 · 3d26%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
Trinidad & TobagoLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.796.695.84−0.86−12.8▼ 222 · 1d23%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
MonacoEuropeHigh 0.865.915.05−0.86−14.6▼ 218 · 2d23%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
ChileLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.9410.619.76−0.85−8.1▼ 217 · 3d37%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 2 · Inception
ColombiaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.879.118.27−0.85−9.3▼ 325 · 3d33%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 1 · Inception
TunisiaAfricaHigh 0.817.716.86−0.85−11.0▲ 124 · 2d27%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0.6 · Inception
JordanGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.817.506.66−0.84−11.202228%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0.3 · Inception
BahrainGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.827.326.48−0.84−11.5▼ 32328%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
HondurasLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.735.054.21−0.84−16.6▼ 126 · 5d18%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
GhanaAfricaHigh 0.776.986.15−0.83−11.9018 · 1d24%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
NamibiaAfricaHigh 0.735.955.13−0.83−13.9▼ 415 · 3d19%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
BruneiIndo-PacificHigh 0.785.604.77−0.83−14.8▼ 219 · 3d22%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
KosovoEuropeHigh 0.734.703.88−0.83−17.601317%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
AngolaAfricaHigh 0.734.603.77−0.83−18.1▲ 116 · 1d16%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
NicaraguaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.734.373.54−0.83−19.0▼ 319 · 2d17%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
BhutanSouth AsiaHigh 0.773.933.09−0.83−21.2▼ 515 · 4d15%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
Saint Vincent & GrenadinesLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.773.762.93−0.83−22.0▼ 517 · 5d13%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
NauruIndo-PacificHigh 0.811.961.13−0.83−42.4▼ 212 · 2d8%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
QatarGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.869.398.57−0.82−8.7021 · 1d34%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0.1 · Inception
MaltaEuropeHigh 0.828.898.07−0.82−9.2▼ 123 · 4d30%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0.1 · Inception
San MarinoEuropeHigh 0.815.034.21−0.82−16.3▼ 119 · 2d16%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
IraqGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.714.693.88−0.82−17.4▲ 221 · 1d18%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
MoroccoAfricaHigh 0.859.368.54−0.81−8.7017 · 3d34%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 1.9 · Inception
OmanGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.808.037.22−0.81−10.1▼ 127 · 2d30%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
MaldivesSouth AsiaHigh 0.754.623.81−0.81−17.6▲ 12318%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
GambiaAfricaHigh 0.713.322.50−0.81−24.5▼ 118 · 3d11%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
CongoAfricaHigh 0.713.192.38−0.81−25.4▼ 426 · 6d12%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
BelizeLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.734.033.24−0.80−19.7▼ 316 · 1d14%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
IcelandEuropeHigh 0.849.638.84−0.79−8.2▼ 128 · 3d34%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0.5 · Inception
GuatemalaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.705.674.88−0.79−13.9019 · 3d21%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
CameroonAfricaHigh 0.684.393.60−0.79−18.0▼ 216 · 1d15%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
MexicoLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.8810.8510.07−0.78−7.2▼ 224 · 3d38%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 4.2 · Nascent
SenegalAfricaHigh 0.716.425.63−0.78−12.2▼ 128 · 1d22%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
AndorraEuropeHigh 0.805.154.37−0.78−15.202019%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
GuyanaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.694.533.75−0.78−17.2▲ 215 · 2d14%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
HaitiLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.682.031.24−0.78−38.6▼ 277%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
BelarusRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.776.906.13−0.77−11.2▲ 127 · 3d31%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 2.8 · Inception
MontenegroEuropeHigh 0.726.355.58−0.77−12.2▼ 115 · 6d24%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
MongoliaIndo-PacificHigh 0.705.734.96−0.77−13.5▼ 111 · 2d20%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
MauritaniaAfricaHigh 0.663.582.81−0.77−21.6▼ 317 · 1d12%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
GrenadaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.704.043.28−0.76−18.8▼ 316 · 3d14%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
Marshall IslandsIndo-PacificHigh 0.682.481.73−0.76−30.4▼ 112 · 1d9%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
LuxembourgEuropeHigh 0.8310.7910.04−0.75−6.9▼ 321 · 4d37%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0.6 · Inception
MauritiusAfricaHigh 0.738.087.33−0.75−9.3▼ 116 · 2d29%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
AlbaniaEuropeHigh 0.696.135.38−0.75−12.2▲ 115 · 6d21%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
Saint Kitts & NevisLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.693.833.08−0.75−19.6▼ 115 · 4d13%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
KiribatiIndo-PacificHigh 0.682.201.46−0.75−33.80158%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
BrazilLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.9111.6910.95−0.74−6.3▼ 125 · 2d44%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 7.3 · Foundational
CyprusEuropeHigh 0.728.517.77−0.74−8.6▲ 221 · 1d28%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0.1 · Inception
BarbadosLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.705.564.81−0.74−13.4▲ 111 · 3d18%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
Côte d'IvoireAfricaHigh 0.665.424.68−0.74−13.7019 · 3d19%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
South AfricaAfricaHigh 0.8210.7710.05−0.73−6.8▼ 120 · 1d39%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 6.1 · Foundational
North MacedoniaEuropeHigh 0.686.615.89−0.72−11.0▲ 319 · 3d24%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
UzbekistanRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.655.925.20−0.72−12.2▲ 320 · 4d22%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
FijiIndo-PacificHigh 0.655.164.45−0.72−13.9▲ 218 · 1d18%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
Antigua & BarbudaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.674.363.64−0.72−16.5▲ 216 · 2d15%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
BeninAfricaHigh 0.624.093.37−0.72−17.6▼ 216 · 1d14%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
MaliAfricaHigh 0.623.412.69−0.72−21.1024 · 3d11%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
DR CongoAfricaHigh 0.612.872.16−0.72−24.9026 · 5d10%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
AzerbaijanRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.686.796.09−0.71−10.4▲ 214 · 2d28%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0.3 · Inception
ArmeniaRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.676.655.94−0.71−10.7▲ 316 · 3d26%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
TogoAfricaHigh 0.624.053.35−0.71−17.4▼ 21514%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
GeorgiaRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.677.556.84−0.70−9.3025 · 1d27%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0.3 · Inception
NigeriaAfricaHigh 0.667.436.73−0.70−9.4▲ 222 · 1d26%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0.9 · Inception
Bosnia & HerzegovinaEuropeHigh 0.645.805.10−0.70−12.1▲ 19 · 4d21%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
LiberiaAfricaHigh 0.612.932.23−0.70−24.0▼ 120 · 4d10%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
TuvaluIndo-PacificHigh 0.662.121.41−0.70−33.3078%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
Guinea-BissauAfricaHigh 0.612.071.37−0.70−33.9015 · 1d7%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
KazakhstanRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.698.147.45−0.69−8.5029 · 3d31%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 1.4 · Inception
ZambiaAfricaHigh 0.614.934.24−0.69−14.1▲ 32018%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
KyrgyzstanRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.614.774.07−0.69−14.6019 · 1d17%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
ZimbabweAfricaMedium 0.584.343.65−0.69−15.9▲ 414 · 3d16%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
Saint LuciaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.643.853.16−0.69−18.0▲ 217 · 3d13%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
EswatiniAfricaHigh 0.613.713.03−0.69−18.5▲ 3913%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
SomaliaAfricaHigh 0.601.620.93−0.69−42.7037%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
Saudi ArabiaGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.8111.1910.51−0.68−6.1020 · 4d41%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 3.8 · Nascent
NepalSouth AsiaMedium 0.594.964.29−0.68−13.6▲ 314 · 2d19%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
LesothoAfricaHigh 0.603.432.75−0.68−19.8020 · 2d11%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
SudanAfricaMedium 0.562.611.93−0.68−25.9016 · 1d10%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
MalaysiaIndo-PacificHigh 0.7811.4810.82−0.67−5.8019 · 3d41%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 5 · Nascent
BulgariaEuropeHigh 0.728.958.28−0.67−7.5▲ 120 · 2d35%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 3 · Nascent
BangladeshSouth AsiaHigh 0.636.736.06−0.67−9.9▲ 22426%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
GreeceEuropeHigh 0.7510.619.95−0.66−6.202139%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 4.2 · Nascent
IranGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.728.177.51−0.66−8.1016 · 2d37%Financial Stability & Crisis Management 3.3 · Nascent
MoldovaRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.606.345.69−0.66−10.3▲ 217 · 5d24%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
North KoreaIndo-PacificHigh 0.624.263.60−0.66−15.5▲ 319 · 1d23%Financial Stability & Crisis Management 0 · Inception
GuineaAfricaMedium 0.563.152.49−0.66−20.9018 · 4d11%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
HungaryEuropeHigh 0.7410.519.86−0.65−6.2028 · 2d39%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 3.4 · Nascent
LatviaEuropeHigh 0.739.899.24−0.65−6.6029 · 3d38%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 2 · Inception
MadagascarAfricaMedium 0.553.903.25−0.65−16.8▲ 21014%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
Sierra LeoneAfricaMedium 0.573.592.94−0.65−18.2▲ 118 · 3d12%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
EritreaAfricaMedium 0.562.011.36−0.65−32.4▲ 19 · 1d7%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
SerbiaEuropeHigh 0.668.978.33−0.64−7.1▲ 122 · 2d34%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 3.5 · Nascent
TanzaniaAfricaMedium 0.575.825.18−0.64−11.0▲ 418 · 1d21%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
MozambiqueAfricaMedium 0.554.123.48−0.64−15.501215%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
PalauIndo-PacificMedium 0.582.842.20−0.64−22.6▲ 312 · 2d10%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
ComorosAfricaMedium 0.562.291.64−0.64−28.1▼ 117 · 3d8%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
IrelandEuropeHigh 0.7312.0811.45−0.63−5.2017 · 1d40%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 3.5 · Nascent
United Arab EmiratesGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.8211.9411.31−0.63−5.3022 · 1d46%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 4.5 · Nascent
CroatiaEuropeHigh 0.669.538.91−0.63−6.6▲ 120 · 2d35%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 1.9 · Inception
PhilippinesIndo-PacificHigh 0.638.838.21−0.63−7.1▲ 114 · 4d31%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 1.9 · Inception
BelgiumEuropeHigh 0.8413.4612.85−0.62−4.6025 · 3d49%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 7.7 · Foundational
New ZealandIndo-PacificHigh 0.8012.8312.21−0.62−4.9▼ 120 · 1d46%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 4.9 · Nascent
SyriaGulf and Middle EastMedium 0.522.221.60−0.62−27.9010 · 2d10%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
Central African Rep.AfricaMedium 0.531.661.05−0.62−37.0▼ 175%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
DenmarkEuropeHigh 0.8213.9413.34−0.61−4.3018 · 2d49%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 8.9 · Foundational
LithuaniaEuropeHigh 0.7210.7510.14−0.61−5.7▲ 316 · 1d41%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 3.3 · Nascent
Sri LankaSouth AsiaMedium 0.577.256.64−0.61−8.4▲ 118 · 1d26%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0.5 · Inception
LaosIndo-PacificMedium 0.543.703.10−0.61−16.4▲ 71415%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
ThailandIndo-PacificHigh 0.6710.7010.10−0.60−5.6▲ 318 · 2d38%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 4.3 · Nascent
SloveniaEuropeHigh 0.6810.489.88−0.60−5.7▲ 214 · 2d39%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 3 · Inception
SlovakiaEuropeHigh 0.6710.109.50−0.60−5.9022 · 4d38%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 2.8 · Inception
KenyaAfricaMedium 0.567.186.58−0.60−8.3▲ 11726%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0.4 · Inception
MyanmarIndo-PacificMedium 0.503.893.29−0.60−15.4▲ 513 · 2d15%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0.1 · Inception
Burkina FasoAfricaMedium 0.513.472.87−0.60−17.3▲ 219 · 1d12%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
PortugalEuropeHigh 0.7111.6811.09−0.59−5.0▲ 115 · 4d42%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 5 · Nascent
CzechiaEuropeHigh 0.7311.5110.92−0.59−5.1013 · 2d44%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 6.8 · Foundational
TürkiyeGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.7412.1811.60−0.58−4.8018 · 3d46%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 8.6 · Foundational
EstoniaEuropeHigh 0.7311.4910.91−0.58−5.0010 · 2d46%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 3.4 · Nascent
IndonesiaIndo-PacificHigh 0.629.979.39−0.58−5.801835%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 4.2 · Nascent
RwandaAfricaMedium 0.515.955.37−0.58−9.7▲ 312 · 2d22%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
Holy SeeEuropeHigh 0.821.851.27−0.58−31.4▲ 26 · 1d4%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
RomaniaEuropeHigh 0.6710.169.59−0.57−5.6013 · 1d41%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 4.6 · Nascent
UkraineRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.709.408.83−0.57−6.101644%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 7.2 · Foundational
LiechtensteinEuropeMedium 0.557.226.65−0.57−7.9▲ 317 · 4d22%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
NigerAfricaMedium 0.483.072.50−0.57−18.5▲ 315 · 3d11%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
AustriaEuropeHigh 0.7012.8112.24−0.56−4.4▲ 120 · 3d45%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 6.2 · Foundational
UgandaAfricaMedium 0.495.534.97−0.56−10.2▲ 615 · 3d19%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
ChadAfricaMedium 0.472.261.70−0.56−24.7▲ 117 · 2d6%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
AfghanistanSouth AsiaMedium 0.501.460.90−0.56−38.4076%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
SingaporeIndo-PacificHigh 0.8415.2014.65−0.55−3.6016 · 4d55%Energy Infrastructure 8.5 · Foundational
EgyptGulf and Middle EastMedium 0.588.988.43−0.55−6.1▲ 214 · 2d35%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 4.1 · Nascent
PakistanSouth AsiaMedium 0.567.967.41−0.55−6.9▲ 218 · 2d33%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 4.7 · Nascent
EthiopiaAfricaMedium 0.485.705.15−0.55−9.6▲ 720 · 3d21%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0.5 · Inception
CambodiaIndo-PacificMedium 0.484.934.38−0.55−11.1▲ 715 · 2d18%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
TajikistanRussia and EurasiaMedium 0.484.013.45−0.55−13.8▲ 51015%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
MalawiAfricaMedium 0.473.763.21−0.55−14.7▲ 612 · 2d13%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
NorwayEuropeHigh 0.8014.6214.08−0.54−3.7015 · 1d53%Energy Infrastructure 10.9 · Transitional
SpainEuropeHigh 0.7813.7813.24−0.54−3.901452%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 10.7 · Transitional
TurkmenistanRussia and EurasiaMedium 0.463.553.01−0.54−15.1▲ 612 · 5d14%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
TongaIndo-PacificMedium 0.473.212.68−0.53−16.4▲ 113 · 3d11%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
ItalyEuropeHigh 0.7213.7213.20−0.52−3.8017 · 1d50%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 11.7 · Transitional
PolandEuropeHigh 0.6812.3911.87−0.52−4.2011 · 1d46%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 9.1 · Transitional
VietnamIndo-PacificMedium 0.589.689.15−0.52−5.4019 · 1d38%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 4.7 · Nascent
South SudanAfricaMedium 0.451.380.85−0.52−38.0025%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
AustraliaIndo-PacificHigh 0.8014.9514.43−0.51−3.4012 · 2d56%Energy Infrastructure 12.2 · Established
RussiaRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.7512.3011.79−0.51−4.101153%Financial Stability & Crisis Management 9.6 · Transitional
NetherlandsEuropeHigh 0.8315.5014.99−0.50−3.207 · 1d58%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 12.8 · Established
SwitzerlandEuropeHigh 0.7614.7314.23−0.50−3.401054%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 10.6 · Transitional
IsraelGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.8014.4613.96−0.50−3.4017 · 1d57%Energy Infrastructure 9.7 · Transitional
BurundiAfricaMedium 0.432.481.98−0.50−20.3▲ 414 · 3d8%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
TaiwanIndo-PacificHigh 0.7614.0313.54−0.49−3.5021 · 3d55%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 11.8 · Transitional
SamoaIndo-PacificMedium 0.453.482.99−0.49−14.1▲ 613 · 3d12%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
Timor-LesteIndo-PacificMedium 0.432.982.50−0.49−16.3▲ 412 · 2d10%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
VanuatuIndo-PacificMedium 0.442.932.43−0.49−16.9▲ 41311%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
Solomon IslandsIndo-PacificMedium 0.432.912.42−0.49−16.7▲ 411 · 2d10%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
CanadaNorth AmericaHigh 0.7815.0614.58−0.48−3.2012 · 2d58%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 13.4 · Established
IndiaSouth AsiaHigh 0.6512.6112.14−0.48−3.8016 · 1d49%Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure 10 · Transitional
SwedenEuropeHigh 0.8115.3014.83−0.47−3.101160%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 14 · Established
FinlandEuropeHigh 0.7914.5214.04−0.47−3.3018 · 2d59%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 11.4 · Transitional
MicronesiaIndo-PacificMedium 0.412.331.86−0.47−20.2▲ 1129%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
YemenGulf and Middle EastMedium 0.391.621.15−0.47−29.2▲ 267%Connectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies 0 · Inception
GermanyEuropeHigh 0.7616.3615.92−0.45−2.701160%Energy Infrastructure 14.1 · Established
JapanIndo-PacificHigh 0.7916.2615.83−0.43−2.701062%Cyber & Electromagnetic Operations 13.5 · Established
South KoreaIndo-PacificHigh 0.7916.0015.57−0.43−2.701062%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 14.9 · Established
FranceEuropeHigh 0.7616.6416.24−0.40−2.40363%Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure 15.4 · Advanced
Papua New GuineaIndo-PacificLow 0.333.803.41−0.39−10.4▲ 12713%Sensing, Timing & Navigation 0 · Inception
ChinaChinaHigh 0.6715.6415.30−0.35−2.201164%National Resilience & Crisis Management 14.1 · Established
United StatesNorth AmericaHigh 0.7818.0317.69−0.34−1.909 · 5d70%Government Effectiveness & Public Administration 15.1 · Advanced
United KingdomEuropeMedium 0.5816.4516.14−0.31−1.90863%Water, Sanitation & Waste Infrastructure 14.6 · Established

Settings of this run

Load
11 capability groups singled out, 73 loaded in all, of 73. A band on the capability scale is three points wide, so a High load moves a fully exposed, unprotected capability down one band. A capability group that the scenario does not single out takes its domain's load one level lower.
Singled out
Connectivity, Cyber & Trust TechnologiesHighSensing, Timing & NavigationHighEnergy InfrastructureHighWater, Sanitation & Waste InfrastructureHighCommunications & Digital InfrastructureHighFinancial InfrastructureHighCyber & Electromagnetic OperationsMediumGovernment Effectiveness & Public AdministrationHighNational Resilience & Crisis ManagementHighFinancial Stability & Crisis ManagementHighIndustrial & Sectoral BaseHigh
Buffers
Energy InfrastructureCommunications & Digital InfrastructureNational Resilience & Crisis ManagementCyber & Electromagnetic OperationsConnectivity, Cyber & Trust Technologies

Absorption is the nation's mean score on the scenario's buffer capabilities as a share of the top of the scale, times 0.75: a nation at the frontier on every buffer absorbs three quarters of the shock.

Exposure
regional exposure (35%); urban share of population (35%); internet users as a share of population (30%). Exposure is set nation by nation: a weighted blend of indicators from the 2025 World Factbook and the scenario's regional exposure. Where a nation does not report an indicator, its weight passes to the others.
Likelihood
4 per cent over three years and 15 per cent over ten, as used in the vulnerability index.
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