Scenarios 2027 / Results / S13

Load test · S13 · Standard Severe · 197 nations

Rapid AI diffusion shock

D Technology and infrastructureScenario record

How far each nation’s capability index falls when this scenario’s load is applied to its capability scores, after its own buffers absorb what they can.

Read with care Second illustrative run, with exposure set nation by nation. The capability scores are candidate ratings and the test settings are GINC desk settings; neither has been adopted. Scores are from the GINC National Capability Index 2026, which describes them as candidate ratings. Exposure is set nation by nation from the CIA World Factbook 2025 and the scenario's regional exposure. Results show the method working on real scores; they are not findings about any nation. How the tests work.

Typical nation−0.61median change in index, points
Hardest hit−1.09North Korea
Lose a domain band161of 197 nations
Worth of best practice+0.22mean points recovered over current plans

Change in index, by region

One dot per nation. The bar marks each region’s mean. Further left is a larger fall.

−1−0.8−0.6−0.4−0.20Change in capability index, pointsNorth America 2United States: −0.43Canada: −0.48North America mean: −0.45Europe 42France: −0.47United Kingdom: −0.50Germany: −0.45Netherlands: −0.47Sweden: −0.45Switzerland: −0.46Norway: −0.46Finland: −0.45Denmark: −0.48Spain: −0.58Italy: −0.60Belgium: −0.57Austria: −0.54Poland: −0.58Ireland: −0.55Portugal: −0.60Czechia: −0.59Estonia: −0.54Luxembourg: −0.65Lithuania: −0.63Greece: −0.70Hungary: −0.64Slovenia: −0.61Romania: −0.68Slovakia: −0.66Latvia: −0.66Iceland: −0.62Croatia: −0.67Serbia: −0.69Bulgaria: −0.70Malta: −0.72Cyprus: −0.76Liechtenstein: −0.63North Macedonia: −0.76Montenegro: −0.79Albania: −0.73Monaco: −0.82Bosnia & Herzegovina: −0.78Andorra: −0.73San Marino: −0.65Kosovo: −0.77Holy See: −0.72Europe mean: −0.62China 1China: −0.39China mean: −0.39ChinaIndo-Pacific 30Japan: −0.45South Korea: −0.42Singapore: −0.41Australia: −0.51Taiwan: −0.58New Zealand: −0.57Malaysia: −0.63Thailand: −0.68Indonesia: −0.62Vietnam: −0.60Philippines: −0.75Mongolia: −0.72Brunei: −0.71Fiji: −0.76Cambodia: −0.67North Korea: −1.09Myanmar: −0.73Papua New Guinea: −0.60Laos: −0.72Samoa: −0.77Tonga: −0.70Timor-Leste: −0.68Vanuatu: −0.71Solomon Islands: −0.65Palau: −0.70Marshall Islands: −0.81Micronesia: −0.73Kiribati: −0.85Tuvalu: −0.83Nauru: −0.92Indo-Pacific mean: −0.69North KoreaKiribatiNauruSouth Asia 8India: −0.54Pakistan: −0.61Sri Lanka: −0.68Bangladesh: −0.66Nepal: −0.74Maldives: −0.83Bhutan: −0.77Afghanistan: −0.56South Asia mean: −0.67Gulf and Middle East 16Israel: −0.44Türkiye: −0.52United Arab Emirates: −0.47Saudi Arabia: −0.52Qatar: −0.56Egypt: −0.56Iran: −0.60Oman: −0.60Kuwait: −0.67Jordan: −0.67Bahrain: −0.62Iraq: −0.68Lebanon: −0.65Palestine: −0.71Syria: −0.55Yemen: −0.45Gulf and Middle East mean: −0.58Africa 53South Africa: −0.57Morocco: −0.64Mauritius: −0.59Tunisia: −0.60Nigeria: −0.50Kenya: −0.50Ghana: −0.57Algeria: −0.61Senegal: −0.59Botswana: −0.67Namibia: −0.60Rwanda: −0.48Tanzania: −0.41Ethiopia: −0.42Uganda: −0.43Côte d'Ivoire: −0.56Seychelles: −0.65Zambia: −0.54Cabo Verde: −0.66Angola: −0.53Cameroon: −0.56Zimbabwe: −0.57Mozambique: −0.45Benin: −0.51Togo: −0.54Gabon: −0.58Madagascar: −0.49Malawi: −0.47Eswatini: −0.58Sierra Leone: −0.47Mauritania: −0.52Burkina Faso: −0.44Lesotho: −0.54Mali: −0.49Gambia: −0.58Djibouti: −0.73Congo: −0.53Guinea: −0.46Niger: −0.50Libya: −0.67Liberia: −0.46DR Congo: −0.46São Tomé & Príncipe: −0.69Equatorial Guinea: −0.62Sudan: −0.57Burundi: −0.45Comoros: −0.53Chad: −0.39Guinea-Bissau: −0.50Eritrea: −0.45Central African Rep.: −0.41Somalia: −0.50South Sudan: −0.48Africa mean: −0.53ChadCentral African Rep.Latin America and Caribbean 33Brazil: −0.54Mexico: −0.56Chile: −0.56Argentina: −0.57Colombia: −0.58Peru: −0.60Uruguay: −0.61Costa Rica: −0.65Panama: −0.65Dominican Republic: −0.66Ecuador: −0.64Trinidad & Tobago: −0.65Jamaica: −0.67Cuba: −0.69Paraguay: −0.62El Salvador: −0.64Guatemala: −0.63Barbados: −0.66Bahamas: −0.72Bolivia: −0.63Honduras: −0.64Venezuela: −0.68Guyana: −0.51Nicaragua: −0.58Antigua & Barbuda: −0.66Grenada: −0.65Suriname: −0.61Belize: −0.64Dominica: −0.64Saint Lucia: −0.69Saint Kitts & Nevis: −0.66Saint Vincent & Grenadines: −0.67Haiti: −0.55Latin America and Caribbean mean: −0.63Russia and Eurasia 12Russia: −0.54Ukraine: −0.58Kazakhstan: −0.64Georgia: −0.64Belarus: −0.62Azerbaijan: −0.61Armenia: −0.64Moldova: −0.65Uzbekistan: −0.64Kyrgyzstan: −0.68Tajikistan: −0.53Turkmenistan: −0.49Russia and Eurasia mean: −0.61
Lowest: North Korea, Nauru, Kiribati. Highest: Central African Rep., China, Chad.

Does capability protect?

Each nation’s baseline index against its fall. Stronger nations absorb more of the shock, so they sit higher; so do nations with low exposure.

02.557.51012.51517.5−1−0.8−0.6−0.4−0.20Baseline capability index (0 to 20)Change in index (points)United States (North America): baseline capability index 18.03, change in index −0.43France (Europe): baseline capability index 16.64, change in index −0.47United Kingdom (Europe): baseline capability index 16.45, change in index −0.50Germany (Europe): baseline capability index 16.36, change in index −0.45Japan (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 16.26, change in index −0.45South Korea (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 16, change in index −0.42China (China): baseline capability index 15.64, change in index −0.39Netherlands (Europe): baseline capability index 15.5, change in index −0.47Sweden (Europe): baseline capability index 15.3, change in index −0.45Singapore (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 15.2, change in index −0.41Canada (North America): baseline capability index 15.06, change in index −0.48Australia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 14.95, change in index −0.51Switzerland (Europe): baseline capability index 14.73, change in index −0.46Norway (Europe): baseline capability index 14.62, change in index −0.46Finland (Europe): baseline capability index 14.52, change in index −0.45Israel (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 14.46, change in index −0.44Taiwan (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 14.03, change in index −0.58Denmark (Europe): baseline capability index 13.94, change in index −0.48Spain (Europe): baseline capability index 13.78, change in index −0.58Italy (Europe): baseline capability index 13.72, change in index −0.60Belgium (Europe): baseline capability index 13.46, change in index −0.57New Zealand (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 12.83, change in index −0.57Austria (Europe): baseline capability index 12.81, change in index −0.54India (South Asia): baseline capability index 12.61, change in index −0.54Poland (Europe): baseline capability index 12.39, change in index −0.58Russia (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 12.3, change in index −0.54Türkiye (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 12.18, change in index −0.52Ireland (Europe): baseline capability index 12.08, change in index −0.55United Arab Emirates (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 11.94, change in index −0.47Brazil (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 11.69, change in index −0.54Portugal (Europe): baseline capability index 11.68, change in index −0.60Czechia (Europe): baseline capability index 11.51, change in index −0.59Estonia (Europe): baseline capability index 11.49, change in index −0.54Malaysia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 11.48, change in index −0.63Saudi Arabia (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 11.19, change in index −0.52Mexico (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 10.85, change in index −0.56Luxembourg (Europe): baseline capability index 10.79, change in index −0.65South Africa (Africa): baseline capability index 10.77, change in index −0.57Lithuania (Europe): baseline capability index 10.75, change in index −0.63Thailand (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 10.7, change in index −0.68Chile (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 10.61, change in index −0.56Greece (Europe): baseline capability index 10.61, change in index −0.70Hungary (Europe): baseline capability index 10.51, change in index −0.64Slovenia (Europe): baseline capability index 10.48, change in index −0.61Romania (Europe): baseline capability index 10.16, change in index −0.68Slovakia (Europe): baseline capability index 10.1, change in index −0.66Indonesia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 9.97, change in index −0.62Latvia (Europe): baseline capability index 9.89, change in index −0.66Vietnam (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 9.68, change in index −0.60Iceland (Europe): baseline capability index 9.63, change in index −0.62Croatia (Europe): baseline capability index 9.53, change in index −0.67Ukraine (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 9.4, change in index −0.58Qatar (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 9.39, change in index −0.56Morocco (Africa): baseline capability index 9.36, change in index −0.64Argentina (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 9.25, change in index −0.57Colombia (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 9.11, change in index −0.58Egypt (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 8.98, change in index −0.56Serbia (Europe): baseline capability index 8.97, change in index −0.69Bulgaria (Europe): baseline capability index 8.95, change in index −0.70Malta (Europe): baseline capability index 8.89, change in index −0.72Philippines (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 8.83, change in index −0.75Peru (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 8.61, change in index −0.60Uruguay (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 8.54, change in index −0.61Cyprus (Europe): baseline capability index 8.51, change in index −0.76Iran (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 8.17, change in index −0.60Kazakhstan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 8.14, change in index −0.64Mauritius (Africa): baseline capability index 8.08, change in index −0.59Oman (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 8.03, change in index −0.60Pakistan (South Asia): baseline capability index 7.96, change in index −0.61Costa Rica (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 7.76, change in index −0.65Tunisia (Africa): baseline capability index 7.71, change in index −0.60Georgia (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 7.55, change in index −0.64Kuwait (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 7.51, change in index −0.67Jordan (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 7.5, change in index −0.67Nigeria (Africa): baseline capability index 7.43, change in index −0.50Bahrain (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 7.32, change in index −0.62Sri Lanka (South Asia): baseline capability index 7.25, change in index −0.68Liechtenstein (Europe): baseline capability index 7.22, change in index −0.63Kenya (Africa): baseline capability index 7.18, change in index −0.50Panama (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 7.17, change in index −0.65Ghana (Africa): baseline capability index 6.98, change in index −0.57Algeria (Africa): baseline capability index 6.96, change in index −0.61Belarus (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 6.9, change in index −0.62Dominican Republic (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 6.82, change in index −0.66Azerbaijan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 6.79, change in index −0.61Ecuador (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 6.76, change in index −0.64Bangladesh (South Asia): baseline capability index 6.73, change in index −0.66Trinidad & Tobago (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 6.69, change in index −0.65Armenia (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 6.65, change in index −0.64North Macedonia (Europe): baseline capability index 6.61, change in index −0.76Senegal (Africa): baseline capability index 6.42, change in index −0.59Montenegro (Europe): baseline capability index 6.35, change in index −0.79Moldova (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 6.34, change in index −0.65Jamaica (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 6.24, change in index −0.67Albania (Europe): baseline capability index 6.13, change in index −0.73Botswana (Africa): baseline capability index 6.08, change in index −0.67Namibia (Africa): baseline capability index 5.95, change in index −0.60Cuba (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.95, change in index −0.69Rwanda (Africa): baseline capability index 5.95, change in index −0.48Uzbekistan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 5.92, change in index −0.64Monaco (Europe): baseline capability index 5.91, change in index −0.82Tanzania (Africa): baseline capability index 5.82, change in index −0.41Bosnia & Herzegovina (Europe): baseline capability index 5.8, change in index −0.78Paraguay (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.79, change in index −0.62Mongolia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 5.73, change in index −0.72Ethiopia (Africa): baseline capability index 5.7, change in index −0.42El Salvador (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.68, change in index −0.64Guatemala (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.67, change in index −0.63Brunei (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 5.6, change in index −0.71Barbados (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.56, change in index −0.66Uganda (Africa): baseline capability index 5.53, change in index −0.43Côte d'Ivoire (Africa): baseline capability index 5.42, change in index −0.56Seychelles (Africa): baseline capability index 5.27, change in index −0.65Bahamas (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.16, change in index −0.72Fiji (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 5.16, change in index −0.76Andorra (Europe): baseline capability index 5.15, change in index −0.73Bolivia (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.11, change in index −0.63Honduras (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 5.05, change in index −0.64San Marino (Europe): baseline capability index 5.03, change in index −0.65Nepal (South Asia): baseline capability index 4.96, change in index −0.74Zambia (Africa): baseline capability index 4.93, change in index −0.54Cambodia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 4.93, change in index −0.67Kyrgyzstan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 4.77, change in index −0.68Cabo Verde (Africa): baseline capability index 4.72, change in index −0.66Kosovo (Europe): baseline capability index 4.7, change in index −0.77Iraq (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 4.69, change in index −0.68Lebanon (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 4.66, change in index −0.65Maldives (South Asia): baseline capability index 4.62, change in index −0.83Angola (Africa): baseline capability index 4.6, change in index −0.53Venezuela (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.55, change in index −0.68Guyana (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.53, change in index −0.51Cameroon (Africa): baseline capability index 4.39, change in index −0.56Nicaragua (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.37, change in index −0.58Antigua & Barbuda (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.36, change in index −0.66Zimbabwe (Africa): baseline capability index 4.34, change in index −0.57North Korea (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 4.26, change in index −1.09Mozambique (Africa): baseline capability index 4.12, change in index −0.45Benin (Africa): baseline capability index 4.09, change in index −0.51Togo (Africa): baseline capability index 4.05, change in index −0.54Grenada (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.04, change in index −0.65Suriname (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.04, change in index −0.61Belize (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 4.03, change in index −0.64Tajikistan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 4.01, change in index −0.53Gabon (Africa): baseline capability index 3.94, change in index −0.58Bhutan (South Asia): baseline capability index 3.93, change in index −0.77Madagascar (Africa): baseline capability index 3.9, change in index −0.49Myanmar (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.89, change in index −0.73Dominica (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 3.87, change in index −0.64Saint Lucia (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 3.85, change in index −0.69Saint Kitts & Nevis (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 3.83, change in index −0.66Papua New Guinea (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.8, change in index −0.60Malawi (Africa): baseline capability index 3.76, change in index −0.47Saint Vincent & Grenadines (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 3.76, change in index −0.67Palestine (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 3.72, change in index −0.71Eswatini (Africa): baseline capability index 3.71, change in index −0.58Laos (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.7, change in index −0.72Sierra Leone (Africa): baseline capability index 3.59, change in index −0.47Mauritania (Africa): baseline capability index 3.58, change in index −0.52Turkmenistan (Russia and Eurasia): baseline capability index 3.55, change in index −0.49Samoa (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.48, change in index −0.77Burkina Faso (Africa): baseline capability index 3.47, change in index −0.44Lesotho (Africa): baseline capability index 3.43, change in index −0.54Mali (Africa): baseline capability index 3.41, change in index −0.49Gambia (Africa): baseline capability index 3.32, change in index −0.58Tonga (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 3.21, change in index −0.70Djibouti (Africa): baseline capability index 3.2, change in index −0.73Congo (Africa): baseline capability index 3.19, change in index −0.53Guinea (Africa): baseline capability index 3.15, change in index −0.46Niger (Africa): baseline capability index 3.07, change in index −0.50Libya (Africa): baseline capability index 3.01, change in index −0.67Timor-Leste (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.98, change in index −0.68Liberia (Africa): baseline capability index 2.93, change in index −0.46Vanuatu (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.93, change in index −0.71Solomon Islands (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.91, change in index −0.65DR Congo (Africa): baseline capability index 2.87, change in index −0.46São Tomé & Príncipe (Africa): baseline capability index 2.85, change in index −0.69Palau (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.84, change in index −0.70Equatorial Guinea (Africa): baseline capability index 2.8, change in index −0.62Sudan (Africa): baseline capability index 2.61, change in index −0.57Burundi (Africa): baseline capability index 2.48, change in index −0.45Marshall Islands (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.48, change in index −0.81Micronesia (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.33, change in index −0.73Comoros (Africa): baseline capability index 2.29, change in index −0.53Chad (Africa): baseline capability index 2.26, change in index −0.39Syria (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 2.22, change in index −0.55Kiribati (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.2, change in index −0.85Tuvalu (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 2.12, change in index −0.83Guinea-Bissau (Africa): baseline capability index 2.07, change in index −0.50Haiti (Latin America and Caribbean): baseline capability index 2.03, change in index −0.55Eritrea (Africa): baseline capability index 2.01, change in index −0.45Nauru (Indo-Pacific): baseline capability index 1.96, change in index −0.92Holy See (Europe): baseline capability index 1.85, change in index −0.72Central African Rep. (Africa): baseline capability index 1.66, change in index −0.41Yemen (Gulf and Middle East): baseline capability index 1.62, change in index −0.45Somalia (Africa): baseline capability index 1.62, change in index −0.50Afghanistan (South Asia): baseline capability index 1.46, change in index −0.56South Sudan (Africa): baseline capability index 1.38, change in index −0.48ChinaNorth KoreaChadKiribatiNauruCentral African Rep.
North AmericaEuropeChinaIndo-PacificSouth AsiaGulf and Middle EastAfricaLatin America and CaribbeanRussia and Eurasia

Where the load lands

Mean change in each capability domain across all nations.

Governance & Integrity−0.96
Human Capital−0.93
Financial Strength−0.81
Information & Influence−0.70
Critical Technology−0.56
Production & Innovation−0.45
Trade & Investment−0.40
Strategic Infrastructure−0.35
National Security−0.29

What policy is worth

The 20 hardest-hit nations under three policy responses. The distance from circle to square is what current buffers absorb; from square to diamond is what best practice would add.

−1.0−0.8−0.6−0.4−0.20.0Change in capability index, pointsNorth KoreaNorth Korea, no response: −1.20North Korea, current plans: −1.09North Korea, best practice: −0.59NauruNauru, no response: −1.00Nauru, current plans: −0.92Nauru, best practice: −0.46KiribatiKiribati, no response: −0.93Kiribati, current plans: −0.85Kiribati, best practice: −0.42MaldivesMaldives, no response: −1.05Maldives, current plans: −0.83Maldives, best practice: −0.47TuvaluTuvalu, no response: −0.90Tuvalu, current plans: −0.83Tuvalu, best practice: −0.41MonacoMonaco, no response: −1.16Monaco, current plans: −0.82Monaco, best practice: −0.53Marshall IslandsMarshall Islands, no response: −0.90Marshall Islands, current plans: −0.81Marshall Islands, best practice: −0.40MontenegroMontenegro, no response: −1.08Montenegro, current plans: −0.79Montenegro, best practice: −0.48Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina, no response: −1.02Bosnia & Herzegovina, current plans: −0.78Bosnia & Herzegovina, best practice: −0.46KosovoKosovo, no response: −0.95Kosovo, current plans: −0.77Kosovo, best practice: −0.43BhutanBhutan, no response: −0.93Bhutan, current plans: −0.77Bhutan, best practice: −0.42SamoaSamoa, no response: −0.89Samoa, current plans: −0.77Samoa, best practice: −0.40CyprusCyprus, no response: −1.18Cyprus, current plans: −0.76Cyprus, best practice: −0.53North MacedoniaNorth Macedonia, no response: −1.05North Macedonia, current plans: −0.76North Macedonia, best practice: −0.47FijiFiji, no response: −0.95Fiji, current plans: −0.76Fiji, best practice: −0.43PhilippinesPhilippines, no response: −1.11Philippines, current plans: −0.75Philippines, best practice: −0.48NepalNepal, no response: −0.91Nepal, current plans: −0.74Nepal, best practice: −0.40AlbaniaAlbania, no response: −0.97Albania, current plans: −0.73Albania, best practice: −0.43AndorraAndorra, no response: −1.02Andorra, current plans: −0.73Andorra, best practice: −0.46MyanmarMyanmar, no response: −0.83Myanmar, current plans: −0.73Myanmar, best practice: −0.38
No responseCurrent plansBest practice
Run three times: no response (absorption zero), current plans (the nation's own buffers) and best practice (buffers lifted to Advanced where they are lower).

All 197 nations

Rank shift is the change in the nation’s place among all nations once every index is stressed: up means it held up better than its neighbours. The weakest point is the capability left lowest among those the scenario singles out.

Weakest point
North KoreaIndo-PacificHigh 1.004.263.18−1.09−25.5▼ 1225 · 1d12%Artificial Intelligence 0 · Inception
NauruIndo-PacificHigh 0.911.961.04−0.92−46.8▼ 412 · 2d9%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
KiribatiIndo-PacificHigh 0.832.201.35−0.85−38.7▼ 314 · 1d9%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
MaldivesSouth AsiaHigh 0.854.623.80−0.83−17.9▼ 422 · 1d22%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
TuvaluIndo-PacificHigh 0.802.121.29−0.83−39.1▼ 36 · 1d9%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
MonacoEuropeHigh 0.955.915.09−0.82−13.9▼ 415 · 2d31%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Marshall IslandsIndo-PacificHigh 0.782.481.67−0.81−32.8▼ 313 · 2d10%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
MontenegroEuropeHigh 0.826.355.56−0.79−12.4▼ 211 · 3d28%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Bosnia & HerzegovinaEuropeHigh 0.785.805.01−0.78−13.5▼ 512 · 4d24%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
KosovoEuropeHigh 0.754.703.94−0.77−16.3▼ 413 · 1d21%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
BhutanSouth AsiaHigh 0.773.933.16−0.77−19.5▼ 613 · 2d18%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
SamoaIndo-PacificHigh 0.763.482.71−0.77−22.2▼ 420 · 5d14%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
CyprusEuropeHigh 0.888.517.76−0.76−8.9026 · 1d37%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
North MacedoniaEuropeHigh 0.806.615.85−0.76−11.5019 · 3d29%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
FijiIndo-PacificHigh 0.765.164.40−0.76−14.8▼ 317 · 2d20%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
PhilippinesIndo-PacificHigh 0.808.838.08−0.75−8.5023 · 3d32%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 2.5 · Inception
NepalSouth AsiaHigh 0.694.964.22−0.74−14.9▼ 213 · 2d19%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
AlbaniaEuropeHigh 0.746.135.40−0.73−11.9▼ 315 · 5d25%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
AndorraEuropeHigh 0.905.154.42−0.73−14.2018 · 1d29%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
MyanmarIndo-PacificHigh 0.643.893.15−0.73−18.9▼ 518 · 3d12%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
DjiboutiAfricaHigh 0.683.202.47−0.73−22.9▼ 420 · 3d10%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
MicronesiaIndo-PacificHigh 0.702.331.59−0.73−31.6▼ 312 · 1d10%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
MaltaEuropeHigh 0.908.898.17−0.72−8.1018 · 4d42%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.6 · Inception
MongoliaIndo-PacificHigh 0.735.735.01−0.72−12.6▼ 412 · 2d25%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
BahamasLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.775.164.44−0.72−13.9▼ 118 · 1d23%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
LaosIndo-PacificHigh 0.673.702.99−0.72−19.4▼ 417 · 1d14%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Holy SeeEuropeHigh 0.931.851.13−0.72−38.8▼ 18 · 1d6%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
BruneiIndo-PacificHigh 0.755.604.89−0.71−12.7▼ 218 · 2d27%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
PalestineGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.673.723.00−0.71−19.1▼ 514 · 2d19%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
VanuatuIndo-PacificHigh 0.682.932.21−0.71−24.3▼ 217 · 2d11%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
GreeceEuropeHigh 0.8310.619.91−0.70−6.6▼ 12038%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 2.1 · Inception
BulgariaEuropeHigh 0.798.958.25−0.70−7.8020 · 2d35%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.3 · Inception
TongaIndo-PacificHigh 0.683.212.51−0.70−21.7▼ 316 · 3d14%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
PalauIndo-PacificHigh 0.692.842.14−0.70−24.7▼ 117 · 2d13%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
SerbiaEuropeHigh 0.798.978.27−0.69−7.7026 · 1d36%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.3 · Inception
CubaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.675.955.25−0.69−11.7▼ 320 · 2d24%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Saint LuciaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.713.853.16−0.69−17.9▼ 118 · 1d17%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
São Tomé & PríncipeAfricaHigh 0.672.852.16−0.69−24.2▼ 119 · 2d12%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
ThailandIndo-PacificHigh 0.8110.7010.02−0.68−6.4▼ 123 · 3d38%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 3.5 · Nascent
RomaniaEuropeHigh 0.8210.169.48−0.68−6.7017 · 1d39%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 2.3 · Inception
Sri LankaSouth AsiaHigh 0.687.256.57−0.68−9.3▼ 220 · 2d28%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
KyrgyzstanRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.664.774.08−0.68−14.3014 · 2d20%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
IraqGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.614.694.02−0.68−14.4▼ 11916%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
VenezuelaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.614.553.87−0.68−15.0025 · 2d18%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Timor-LesteIndo-PacificHigh 0.652.982.31−0.68−22.7▼ 217 · 4d11%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
CroatiaEuropeHigh 0.799.538.86−0.67−7.0021 · 2d38%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.7 · Inception
KuwaitGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.707.516.83−0.67−9.0▼ 119 · 1d29%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
JordanGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.707.506.82−0.67−9.0▼ 11829%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
JamaicaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.676.245.57−0.67−10.8▲ 124 · 3d24%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
BotswanaAfricaHigh 0.686.085.40−0.67−11.1▼ 115 · 3d25%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
CambodiaIndo-PacificHigh 0.634.934.26−0.67−13.5▲ 116 · 1d18%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Saint Vincent & GrenadinesLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.673.763.09−0.67−17.7▼ 214 · 1d17%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
LibyaAfricaMedium 0.583.012.34−0.67−22.2▼ 22511%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
SlovakiaEuropeHigh 0.8110.109.44−0.66−6.5025 · 4d41%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.6 · Inception
LatviaEuropeHigh 0.839.899.23−0.66−6.7031 · 3d42%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.7 · Inception
Dominican RepublicLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.676.826.16−0.66−9.7▼ 119 · 3d27%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
BangladeshSouth AsiaHigh 0.646.736.07−0.66−9.802025%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
BarbadosLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.725.564.90−0.66−11.9011 · 3d26%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Cabo VerdeAfricaHigh 0.684.724.06−0.66−14.1▼ 117 · 3d20%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Antigua & BarbudaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.694.363.70−0.66−15.2▼ 111 · 2d20%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Saint Kitts & NevisLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.673.833.17−0.66−17.2▲ 114 · 2d17%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
LuxembourgEuropeHigh 0.9210.7910.14−0.65−6.0▼ 118 · 3d49%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.4 · Inception
Costa RicaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.717.767.11−0.65−8.4▼ 124 · 4d33%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.9 · Inception
PanamaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.697.176.52−0.65−9.109 · 3d29%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Trinidad & TobagoLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.676.696.05−0.65−9.6022 · 2d28%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
MoldovaRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.676.345.69−0.65−10.3▲ 122 · 4d28%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
SeychellesAfricaHigh 0.705.274.62−0.65−12.4020 · 2d25%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
San MarinoEuropeHigh 0.785.034.38−0.65−12.9▼ 113 · 3d28%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
LebanonGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.604.664.01−0.65−13.9▼ 123 · 2d20%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
GrenadaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.664.043.39−0.65−16.2▼ 312 · 2d18%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Solomon IslandsIndo-PacificHigh 0.622.912.26−0.65−22.5015 · 2d10%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
HungaryEuropeHigh 0.8110.519.87−0.64−6.1026 · 3d43%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 3.4 · Nascent
MoroccoAfricaHigh 0.679.368.72−0.64−6.8011 · 2d31%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.1 · Inception
KazakhstanRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.698.147.51−0.64−7.8026 · 3d33%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
GeorgiaRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.687.556.91−0.64−8.4▼ 121 · 2d31%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
EcuadorLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.646.766.12−0.64−9.4024 · 2d26%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
ArmeniaRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.676.656.01−0.64−9.7016 · 2d29%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.4 · Inception
UzbekistanRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.635.925.28−0.64−10.9021 · 3d24%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
El SalvadorLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.635.685.03−0.64−11.3022 · 2d23%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
HondurasLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.595.054.41−0.64−12.7▲ 117 · 5d18%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
BelizeLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.654.033.39−0.64−15.9015 · 1d18%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
DominicaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.663.873.23−0.64−16.6▲ 211 · 1d18%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
MalaysiaIndo-PacificHigh 0.8111.4810.85−0.63−5.5018 · 1d44%Artificial Intelligence 7 · Foundational
LithuaniaEuropeHigh 0.8210.7510.12−0.63−5.8019 · 1d44%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 2 · Inception
LiechtensteinEuropeHigh 0.817.226.58−0.63−8.8018 · 4d38%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
GuatemalaLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.605.675.04−0.63−11.1▲ 214 · 2d21%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
BoliviaLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.595.114.47−0.63−12.4▲ 31519%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
IndonesiaIndo-PacificHigh 0.689.979.35−0.62−6.2019 · 1d34%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 2 · Inception
IcelandEuropeHigh 0.869.639.01−0.62−6.4022 · 2d47%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
BahrainGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.697.326.70−0.62−8.402334%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
BelarusRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.656.906.28−0.62−9.0021 · 3d31%Political Institutions & Civic Participation 2 · Inception
ParaguayLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.615.795.16−0.62−10.8▲ 11823%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Equatorial GuineaAfricaMedium 0.562.802.18−0.62−22.1▲ 217 · 2d10%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
SloveniaEuropeHigh 0.8010.489.87−0.61−5.8013 · 2d45%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.8 · Inception
UruguayLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.718.547.94−0.61−7.1019 · 2d37%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
PakistanSouth AsiaMedium 0.587.967.34−0.61−7.7018 · 2d24%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.8 · Inception
AlgeriaAfricaMedium 0.596.966.35−0.61−8.7021 · 1d25%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
AzerbaijanRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.626.796.18−0.61−9.0▲ 114 · 1d27%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
SurinameLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.614.043.42−0.61−15.2▲ 115 · 1d17%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
ItalyEuropeHigh 0.8213.7213.12−0.60−4.4014 · 1d47%Lifelong Learning & Reskilling 9.7 · Transitional
PortugalEuropeHigh 0.8211.6811.08−0.60−5.1011 · 3d47%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 3.5 · Nascent
VietnamIndo-PacificHigh 0.709.689.07−0.60−6.2018 · 1d38%Political Institutions & Civic Participation 3 · Nascent
PeruLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.638.618.00−0.60−7.0021 · 3d30%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
IranGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.618.177.57−0.60−7.3015 · 2d29%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 2.7 · Inception
OmanGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.658.037.43−0.60−7.5021 · 1d32%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
TunisiaAfricaHigh 0.647.717.11−0.60−7.8▲ 113 · 2d32%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.9 · Inception
NamibiaAfricaMedium 0.595.955.35−0.60−10.1▼ 217 · 1d23%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Papua New GuineaIndo-PacificMedium 0.543.803.20−0.60−15.9▲ 414 · 1d11%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
CzechiaEuropeHigh 0.8011.5110.92−0.59−5.1▼ 116 · 1d46%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 5.5 · Nascent
MauritiusAfricaHigh 0.688.087.48−0.59−7.4020 · 1d35%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
SenegalAfricaMedium 0.566.425.83−0.59−9.1023 · 2d22%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
TaiwanIndo-PacificHigh 0.9514.0313.45−0.58−4.1▼ 118 · 3d56%Artificial Intelligence 11.1 · Transitional
SpainEuropeHigh 0.8613.7813.20−0.58−4.201151%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 6.2 · Foundational
PolandEuropeHigh 0.8012.3911.82−0.58−4.7012 · 1d47%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 4.9 · Nascent
UkraineRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.679.408.83−0.58−6.1▼ 121 · 1d37%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 2.2 · Inception
ColombiaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.649.118.53−0.58−6.4020 · 2d33%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
NicaraguaLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.544.373.79−0.58−13.3019 · 2d17%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
GabonAfricaMedium 0.553.943.36−0.58−14.801415%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
EswatiniAfricaMedium 0.563.713.13−0.58−15.7▲ 21315%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
GambiaAfricaMedium 0.533.322.74−0.58−17.3▲ 114 · 2d12%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
BelgiumEuropeHigh 0.8713.4612.89−0.57−4.2024 · 3d53%Artificial Intelligence 9.8 · Transitional
New ZealandIndo-PacificHigh 0.8612.8312.26−0.57−4.4▼ 119 · 1d52%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.4 · Inception
South AfricaAfricaHigh 0.6610.7710.20−0.57−5.3▲ 11437%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 3.1 · Nascent
ArgentinaLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.669.258.68−0.57−6.1019 · 2d38%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.3 · Inception
GhanaAfricaMedium 0.576.986.41−0.57−8.2014 · 1d26%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
ZimbabweAfricaMedium 0.524.343.77−0.57−13.1▲ 112 · 3d18%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
SudanAfricaMedium 0.482.612.04−0.57−21.709 · 1d8%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
MexicoLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.6610.8510.29−0.56−5.2019 · 1d38%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 3.8 · Nascent
ChileLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.6910.6110.05−0.56−5.3▲ 212 · 3d41%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.6 · Inception
QatarGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.669.398.83−0.56−6.0▲ 112 · 1d38%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
EgyptGulf and Middle EastMedium 0.598.988.42−0.56−6.3016 · 1d31%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.3 · Inception
Côte d'IvoireAfricaMedium 0.525.424.86−0.56−10.3010 · 1d19%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
CameroonAfricaMedium 0.514.393.83−0.56−12.8▲ 112 · 1d15%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
AfghanistanSouth AsiaMedium 0.541.460.90−0.56−38.3075%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
IrelandEuropeHigh 0.8412.0811.53−0.55−4.5018 · 2d52%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 6.8 · Foundational
SyriaGulf and Middle EastMedium 0.462.221.67−0.55−24.8▲ 211 · 1d7%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
HaitiLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.492.031.48−0.55−27.2▲ 177%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
AustriaEuropeHigh 0.8512.8112.27−0.54−4.2▲ 120 · 2d54%Artificial Intelligence 8.8 · Foundational
IndiaSouth AsiaHigh 0.6712.6112.07−0.54−4.3016 · 1d41%Labour & Employment 7.7 · Foundational
RussiaRussia and EurasiaHigh 0.6912.3011.76−0.54−4.4012 · 1d43%Political Institutions & Civic Participation 3.5 · Nascent
BrazilLatin America and CaribbeanHigh 0.6711.6911.15−0.54−4.6017 · 2d41%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 4.2 · Nascent
EstoniaEuropeHigh 0.8411.4910.95−0.54−4.7▲ 110 · 1d53%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 1.3 · Inception
ZambiaAfricaMedium 0.504.934.39−0.54−10.9▲ 21118%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
TogoAfricaMedium 0.504.053.51−0.54−13.4▲ 11415%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
LesothoAfricaMedium 0.523.432.89−0.54−15.801613%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
AngolaAfricaMedium 0.474.604.07−0.53−11.6▲ 51415%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
TajikistanRussia and EurasiaMedium 0.494.013.48−0.53−13.3▲ 41416%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
CongoAfricaMedium 0.473.192.66−0.53−16.6▲ 112 · 2d10%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
ComorosAfricaMedium 0.492.291.75−0.53−23.4▲ 19 · 3d8%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
TürkiyeGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.6712.1811.66−0.52−4.3019 · 3d43%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 4.9 · Nascent
Saudi ArabiaGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.6711.1910.67−0.52−4.6017 · 3d43%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 2.2 · Inception
MauritaniaAfricaMedium 0.463.583.06−0.52−14.6▲ 212 · 1d12%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
AustraliaIndo-PacificHigh 0.8514.9514.44−0.51−3.4013 · 1d57%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 5.1 · Nascent
GuyanaLatin America and CaribbeanMedium 0.494.534.02−0.51−11.2▲ 513 · 1d17%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
BeninAfricaMedium 0.474.093.57−0.51−12.6▲ 112 · 1d15%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
United KingdomEuropeHigh 0.9216.4515.96−0.50−3.001161%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 12.9 · Established
NigeriaAfricaMedium 0.487.436.93−0.50−6.7▲ 317 · 3d26%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0.1 · Inception
KenyaAfricaMedium 0.517.186.67−0.50−7.0▲ 21328%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
NigerAfricaMedium 0.433.072.58−0.50−16.2▲ 213 · 3d9%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Guinea-BissauAfricaMedium 0.452.071.58−0.50−24.0▲ 215 · 1d7%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
SomaliaAfricaMedium 0.441.621.12−0.50−30.7▲ 125%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
MadagascarAfricaMedium 0.433.903.42−0.49−12.4▲ 5814%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
TurkmenistanRussia and EurasiaMedium 0.443.553.06−0.49−13.8▲ 213 · 4d13%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
MaliAfricaMedium 0.433.412.92−0.49−14.4▲ 214 · 1d10%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
CanadaNorth AmericaHigh 0.8515.0614.58−0.48−3.201759%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 9.1 · Transitional
DenmarkEuropeHigh 0.8613.9413.47−0.48−3.4▲ 112 · 2d59%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 4.1 · Nascent
RwandaAfricaMedium 0.475.955.47−0.48−8.0▲ 312 · 1d25%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
South SudanAfricaMedium 0.431.380.89−0.48−35.0024%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
FranceEuropeHigh 0.8416.6416.17−0.47−2.801260%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 13.8 · Established
NetherlandsEuropeHigh 0.8715.5015.02−0.47−3.107 · 1d61%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 13 · Established
United Arab EmiratesGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.6911.9411.47−0.47−4.0019 · 2d50%Political Institutions & Civic Participation 2.3 · Inception
MalawiAfricaMedium 0.413.763.29−0.47−12.5▲ 713 · 1d13%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Sierra LeoneAfricaMedium 0.423.593.13−0.47−13.0▲ 313 · 2d12%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
SwitzerlandEuropeHigh 0.8814.7314.27−0.46−3.10962%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 10.2 · Transitional
NorwayEuropeHigh 0.8014.6214.16−0.46−3.1012 · 1d58%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 4.8 · Nascent
GuineaAfricaMedium 0.413.152.69−0.46−14.6▲ 310 · 2d10%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
LiberiaAfricaMedium 0.422.932.47−0.46−15.8▲ 311 · 3d10%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
DR CongoAfricaMedium 0.412.872.41−0.46−16.0▲ 414 · 4d9%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
GermanyEuropeHigh 0.8416.3615.92−0.45−2.701061%Digital & AI Competence 14.5 · Established
JapanIndo-PacificHigh 0.8416.2615.81−0.45−2.801261%Political Institutions & Civic Participation 14.4 · Established
SwedenEuropeHigh 0.8515.3014.85−0.45−2.90862%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 8.9 · Foundational
FinlandEuropeHigh 0.8314.5214.07−0.45−3.1015 · 1d61%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 7.5 · Foundational
MozambiqueAfricaMedium 0.394.123.67−0.45−10.9▲ 11214%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
BurundiAfricaMedium 0.412.482.04−0.45−18.0013 · 3d8%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
EritreaAfricaMedium 0.402.011.56−0.45−22.4▲ 36 · 1d6%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
YemenGulf and Middle EastMedium 0.391.621.18−0.45−27.5▲ 256%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
IsraelGulf and Middle EastHigh 0.7314.4614.02−0.44−3.0014 · 1d57%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 12.7 · Established
Burkina FasoAfricaMedium 0.393.473.03−0.44−12.8▲ 31511%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
United StatesNorth AmericaHigh 0.9018.0317.60−0.43−2.4010 · 3d65%Labour & Employment 14 · Established
UgandaAfricaMedium 0.405.535.10−0.43−7.8▲ 713 · 3d20%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
South KoreaIndo-PacificHigh 0.8216.0015.58−0.42−2.60763%Labour & Employment 14.5 · Established
EthiopiaAfricaMedium 0.385.705.27−0.42−7.4▲ 518 · 2d19%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
SingaporeIndo-PacificHigh 0.8715.2014.78−0.41−2.7012 · 3d65%Political Institutions & Civic Participation 10.1 · Transitional
TanzaniaAfricaMedium 0.385.825.42−0.41−7.0▲ 610 · 2d21%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
Central African Rep.AfricaMedium 0.371.661.25−0.41−24.6▲ 276%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception
ChinaChinaHigh 0.6415.6415.26−0.39−2.50856%Political Institutions & Civic Participation 4.5 · Nascent
ChadAfricaLow 0.352.261.88−0.39−17.1▲ 314 · 2d6%Semiconductors & Advanced Computing 0 · Inception

Settings of this run

Load
12 capability groups singled out, 73 loaded in all, of 73. A band on the capability scale is three points wide, so a High load moves a fully exposed, unprotected capability down one band. A capability group that the scenario does not single out takes its domain's load one level lower.
Singled out
Semiconductors & Advanced ComputingHighArtificial IntelligenceHighAdvanced EducationHighDigital & AI CompetenceHighLifelong Learning & ReskillingHighPolitical Institutions & Civic ParticipationHighRegulatory Governance & Strategic ControlsHighGovernment Effectiveness & Public AdministrationHighFiscal Capacity & Public FinanceHighLabour & EmploymentMediumTechnology Adoption & DiffusionMediumDigital & Services TradeMedium
Buffers
Artificial IntelligenceDigital & AI CompetenceLifelong Learning & ReskillingTechnology Adoption & DiffusionGovernment Effectiveness & Public Administration

Absorption is the nation's mean score on the scenario's buffer capabilities as a share of the top of the scale, times 0.75: a nation at the frontier on every buffer absorbs three quarters of the shock.

Exposure
services as a share of gdp (40%); regional exposure (30%); internet users as a share of population (30%). Exposure is set nation by nation: a weighted blend of indicators from the 2025 World Factbook and the scenario's regional exposure. Where a nation does not report an indicator, its weight passes to the others.
Likelihood
4 per cent over three years and 40 per cent over ten, as used in the vulnerability index.
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